Pre-tourney Rankings
Mountain West
2016-17


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
54 Nevada 100.0%   12   28 - 6 14 - 4 28 - 6 14 - 4 +9.7      +7.0 36 +2.7 90 71.0 95 +10.7 51 +9.1 1
80 San Diego St. 0.0%   18 - 14 9 - 9 18 - 14 9 - 9 +6.2      -0.5 184 +6.7 34 61.9 308 +3.3 112 +1.9 6
82 Colorado St. 0.2%   21 - 11 13 - 5 21 - 11 13 - 5 +6.1      +3.0 89 +3.1 87 63.9 268 +6.3 82 +8.0 2
96 Boise St. 0.0%   18 - 11 12 - 6 18 - 11 12 - 6 +4.7      +3.9 68 +0.8 150 69.7 118 +5.8 91 +6.6 3
98 Fresno St. 0.0%   18 - 12 11 - 7 18 - 12 11 - 7 +4.5      +1.2 137 +3.3 81 66.2 220 +4.7 101 +5.6 4
118 New Mexico 0.0%   17 - 14 10 - 8 17 - 14 10 - 8 +2.6      +1.5 127 +1.1 133 68.7 151 +3.8 108 +4.5 5
121 Utah St. 0.0%   13 - 17 7 - 11 13 - 17 7 - 11 +2.4      +1.8 119 +0.5 160 65.4 237 +0.1 158 -0.2 9
140 Wyoming 0.0%   16 - 14 8 - 10 16 - 14 8 - 10 +1.3      -0.5 185 +1.9 109 80.3 8 +1.7 135 +0.6 7
206 San Jose St. 0.0%   12 - 16 7 - 11 12 - 16 7 - 11 -2.9      -2.7 240 -0.2 180 72.8 62 -0.5 169 +0.2 8
215 Air Force 0.0%   10 - 21 4 - 14 10 - 21 4 - 14 -3.5      0.0 165 -3.5 267 65.7 229 -4.2 231 -4.9 11
231 UNLV 0.0%   11 - 21 4 - 14 11 - 21 4 - 14 -4.5      -4.6 285 +0.1 176 69.2 130 -3.6 221 -4.7 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th
Nevada 1.0 100.0
San Diego St. 6.0 100.0
Colorado St. 2.0 100.0
Boise St. 3.0 100.0
Fresno St. 4.0 100.0
New Mexico 5.0 100.0
Utah St. 8.0 100.0
Wyoming 7.0 100.0
San Jose St. 8.0 100.0
Air Force 10.0 100.0
UNLV 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Nevada 14 - 4 100.0
San Diego St. 9 - 9 100.0
Colorado St. 13 - 5 100.0
Boise St. 12 - 6 100.0
Fresno St. 11 - 7 100.0
New Mexico 10 - 8 100.0
Utah St. 7 - 11 100.0
Wyoming 8 - 10 100.0
San Jose St. 7 - 11 100.0
Air Force 4 - 14 100.0
UNLV 4 - 14 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Nevada 100.0% 100.0
San Diego St.
Colorado St.
Boise St.
Fresno St.
New Mexico
Utah St.
Wyoming
San Jose St.
Air Force
UNLV


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Nevada 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.0 0.1 1.5 20.7 76.6 1.0
San Diego St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Colorado St. 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0 0.2 0.0 99.8 0.2%
Boise St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Fresno St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%
New Mexico 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Utah St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wyoming 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
San Jose St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Air Force 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UNLV 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Nevada 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 25.6% 6.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
San Diego St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Colorado St. 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Boise St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fresno St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Mexico 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Utah St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wyoming 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
San Jose St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Air Force 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNLV 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.8 0.2
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 99.9 0.1
2nd Round 25.6% 0.3 74.4 25.6 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 6.7% 0.1 93.4 6.7
Elite Eight 1.3% 0.0 98.7 1.3
Final Four 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0